Fraud, Elections and the American Gene in Taiwan’s Democracy

Working Paper No.: 
Date Published: 
Lichun Chiang
Peter C. Ordeshook

Using several indicators that have been applied elsewhere to detect election fraud using official election returns, this essay takes close look at Taiwan’s three most recent presidential contests. However, rather than simply see if we can find evidence of fraud in those returns, we also see how close the patterns in the numbers mimic what we find in the United States and in this way offer a measure of the extent to which America’s “genetic gene” has taken root in Taiwan. Our general conclusion is that, with the exception of data from precincts that correspond to military districts, the patterns in the data more close match what we find in the United States as opposed to authoritarian regimes such as Russia or transitional democracies such as Ukraine.

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