Social Science Research

How Much is Enough? The "Ballot Order Effect" and the use of Social Science Research in Election Law Disputes

Working Paper No.: 
44
Date Published: 
01/01/2009
Author(s): 
R. Michael Alvarez
Richard L. Hasen
Betsy Sinclair

Previous empirical research and other related research from survey methodology holds that candidates listed first on an election ballot may gain some measure of advantage from this ballot placement. Using data from the 1998 general election in California, we test whether a candidate’s relative position on the ballot has any statistical effect on vote shares. We find little systematic evidence that candidate vote shares benefit from being listed first on the ballot.

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