Date Published: 2016-11-23
Author(s):
R. Michael Alvarez, D. Roderick Kiewiet, and Lucas Núñez, California Institute of Technology
Abstract:
Protest voting is a phenomenon of growing interest to both academic and other observers of
elections throughout the world. In this paper we create a taxonomy of the wide range of behaviors
that have been labeled as protest voting, and review the literature studying them. Our review
shows that the analysis of protest voting faces significant challenges, first and foremost because
researchers lack a clear conceptual definition of the term. Lack of conceptual clarity is particularly
patent in the analysis of support for fringe or insurgent parties, as what is often labeled
as protest voting is consistent with patterns of ideological attraction and retrospective voting
that characterize support for mainstream parties. Protest voting can also take the form of voters
casting blank, null, or spoiled (BNS) ballots, but a major problem for analyses here is that it is
difficult to distinguish between BNS ballots that are cast intentionally from ballots that are voided
due to unintentional mistakes. Protest votes can sometimes take the form of tactical voting, and
in a few cases protest voting is organized and directed by political elites. In such cases, however,
protest voting has been either ineffectual or counterproductive.