The Influence of Initiative Signature Gathering Campaigns on Political Participation
Working Paper No.: 27Date Published: 2008-11-30
Author(s):
Frederick J. Boehmke, University of Iowa
R. Michael Alvarez, California Institute of Technology
Abstract:
Does direct democracy increase political participation? Rather than focus on statelevel
effects of the initiative process, this paper studies the effect of signature gathering
campaigns on participation within a state. To this end we test whether parts of the state
that are subject to more intense signature gathering campaigns, measured by the number
of signatures gathered per capita, experience greater levels of political participation. We
examine three measures of participation: registration, turnout, and ballot rolloff. Our key
variable is the intensity of the signature gathering campaign across eight specific ballot
measure or across measures for four specific elections. Grouped logit analysis demonstrates
that the intensity of signature gathering campaigns is strongly related to these
measures of political participation. In addition, we also study how signature gathering
intensity influences vote choice on associated measures, finding that on average increased
signature gathering intensity increases support for a measure.