The Influence of Initiative Signature Gathering Campaigns on Political Participation (II)
Working Paper No.: 45Date Published: 2005-11-30
Author(s):
R. Michael Alvarez, California Institute of Technology
Frederick J. Boehmke, University of Iowa
Abstract:
Does direct democracy increase political participation? How? Rather than focus on
state-level effects of the initiative process, this paper studies the direct effect of signature
gathering campaigns on participation within a state. We test whether parts of the state
that are subject to more intense signature gathering campaigns, measured by the number
of signatures gathered per capita, experience greater levels of political participation. We
examine three measures of participation: registration, turnout, and ballot rolloff. Our key
variable is the intensity of the signature gathering campaign across eight specific ballot
measures or across measures for four specific elections. Grouped logit analysis demonstrates
that the intensity of signature gathering campaigns is strongly related to these
measures of political participation. In addition, we also study how signature gathering
intensity influences vote choice on associated measures, finding that on average increased
signature gathering intensity increases support for a measure.